Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.333887 0.389666 0.452115 0.527263 0.615316 0.715319 0.837652
2024-12-29 0.249139 0.322902 0.414726 0.537681 0.698433 0.902052 1.180512
2025-01-05 0.197435 0.274774 0.378254 0.527329 0.737489 1.024539 1.448730
2025-01-12 0.164337 0.242281 0.352855 0.521930 0.775425 1.143752 1.723946
2025-01-19 0.142226 0.220373 0.336983 0.524739 0.821729 1.277165 2.035832
2025-01-26 0.130603 0.211640 0.338207 0.551752 0.906364 1.477522 2.478813
2025-02-02 0.120578 0.203524 0.338568 0.576361 0.989209 1.684799 2.962934
2025-02-09 0.110630 0.193857 0.334633 0.592477 1.058926 1.878292 3.451056
2025-02-16 0.100504 0.182319 0.325690 0.598066 1.110018 2.044960 3.914329
2025-02-23 0.090553 0.169655 0.312923 0.594565 1.143241 2.182472 4.341700
2025-03-02 0.080192 0.154825 0.294218 0.577131 1.147068 2.264101 4.670222
2025-03-09 0.075530 0.150202 0.293958 0.595068 1.222106 2.493387 5.331633
2025-03-16 0.069304 0.141889 0.285854 0.596927 1.266275 2.669588 5.915935
2025-03-23 0.064704 0.136302 0.282530 0.608301 1.332259 2.901096 6.660173
2025-03-30 0.058479 0.126504 0.269276 0.596559 1.346154 3.021651 7.170954
2025-04-06 0.053478 0.118695 0.259232 0.590429 1.371530 3.170821 7.772228
2025-04-13 0.049769 0.113265 0.253664 0.593618 1.418707 3.376326 8.543379
2025-04-20 0.048419 0.113005 0.259572 0.624287 1.535517 3.763149 9.834403
2025-04-27 0.046918 0.112200 0.264105 0.652231 1.649584 4.159556 11.216878
2025-05-04 0.044878 0.109850 0.264707 0.670534 1.741892 4.514419 12.547660
2025-05-11 0.042289 0.105835 0.260803 0.676882 1.804044 4.800067 13.734891
2025-05-18 0.039360 0.100616 0.253309 0.672905 1.838096 5.015781 14.758961
2025-05-25 0.035895 0.093616 0.240503 0.653106 1.826073 5.103850 15.422353